General thoughts: scoring options

[Spence]

You are making something relatively simple - lots harder. No reason to over think it.

[donovan]

So I watched it and there was a link to this play......tough two points.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nf2wgeIRDPo&NR=1

[WoVeU]

You are making something relatively simple - lots harder. No reason to over think it.

This is why I addressed choose.

[Spence]

You are making something relatively simple - lots harder. No reason to over think it.

This is why I addressed choose.

I know, so is he.

[WoVeU]

So I watched it and there was a link to this play......tough two points.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nf2wgeIRDPo&NR=1

Cool. But it was a touch back...no points. The defense gained 20 yards of field position out of it.

[WoVeU]

Ok, you collected with the conditional given, duh.

And kept everything in singular approach...which I took to be the case.

[billybud]

You guys are leaving out the "situational factors"...

When deciding whether to go for a two point conversion, the time left in the game is an important factor to add to the equation. Also the relative score...your lead or how much you must catch up.

I have always like this site's analysis...I have linked their two point conversion chart.

http://www.footballcommentary.com/twoptchart.htm

[billybud]

Take a look at this model which describes odds for going for it on 4th and taking the 2 point conversion....

http://www.footballcommentary.com/blunders.htm

[silverfox]

OK

[WoVeU]

OK

Surprise, surprise...BSU was the most frequent 2-point leader last season:

http://ncaafootball.fanhouse.com/2010/1 ... t-edition/

also see link to http://cfbstats.com which was used as the reference for the PAT data

Before I even got down to this post I was considering team types and situations for going for 2. And Boise State popped in my head. If I were going to bet on any team converting the deuce, I would take Boise. I'd like to see them go for 2 every time. You have to cover the whole field against Boise, it is very hard to prevent them gaining 3 yards. Why is college football using the 3 yard line anyway. I like the 2 yard line. And I'd like to see the 1 point conversion done away with.

[WoVeU]

Did anybody read the portion in that article about "Unlucky U", N. Texas!!!
Just terrible events!

[RazorHawk]

OK

Surprise, surprise...BSU was the most frequent 2-point leader last season:

http://ncaafootball.fanhouse.com/2010/1 ... t-edition/

also see link to http://cfbstats.com which was used as the reference for the PAT data

You need to compute the numbers with the SOS factored.

[billybud]

Why not go for two when you are 40 point favorites? A missed point here and there won't be crucial.

I would expect more risk taking when the downside of failure is negligible.

[donovan]

Why not go for two when you are 40 point favorites? A missed point here and there won't be crucial.

I would expect more risk taking when the downside of failure is negligible.

Me too, which of course, makes it not risky at all.

[WoVeU]

Why not go for two when you are 40 point favorites? A missed point here and there won't be crucial.

I would expect more risk taking when the downside of failure is negligible.

Me too, which of course, makes it not risky at all.

You know 3 or 4 of those 2pt conversions could help in the NC against TCU. I just think they should practice now.