Computer Poll For 11/28

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collegefbfan-8898
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Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby collegefbfan-8898 » Tue Nov 29, 2016 10:09 am

Computer Poll For 11/28

1. Alabama
2. Ohio State
3. Clemson
4. Washington
5. Michigan
6. Wisconsin
7. Penn State
8. Colorado
9. Oklahoma
10. Western Michigan
11. Florida State
12. West Virginia
13. Oklahoma State
14. Southern Cal
15. Nebraska
16. Stanford
17. Florida
18. Navy
19. Tennessee
20. Boise State
21. Auburn
22. South Florida
23. Louisville
24. Virginia Tech
25. Pittsburgh

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donovan
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Re: Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby donovan » Tue Nov 29, 2016 10:58 am

Looks better. I would not include Boise State in top 25, they fold like a tinhorn in a high-stakes poker game.
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Re: Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby Spence » Tue Nov 29, 2016 11:40 am

donovan wrote:Looks better. I would not include Boise State in top 25, they fold like a tinhorn in a high-stakes poker game.


I didn't think they looked bad in any game I saw all year. Maybe not as dominant as we have seen in the past, but they were in every game.
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Re: Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby collegefbfan-8898 » Tue Nov 29, 2016 12:48 pm

Yeah the two teams they lost to are a combined 17-7. But the Broncos did beat Washington State and Wyoming. This isn't a head to head comparison poll or a "so and so should be ahead of so and so because they beat them" poll. For all teams, I threw the winning percentages, opponents' win percentage in there, opponents' opponents' win percentage in there, and a penalty for playing a weak schedule, etc. This is what the spreadsheet threw at me.

As I look at it, I wonder about Western Michigan. They are playing good and the media throws out the great numbers. But they have beaten a 9-3 Toledo team and who else? Boise State didn't play a team like NC Central like Western Michigan did. How bad is NC Central?

Western Michigan getting too much love?

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Re: Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby billybud » Tue Nov 29, 2016 4:02 pm

Penalty for "weak schedule"...using whose methodology? And what teams were penalized.

Using Sagarin..if you penalized those who's SOS is not in Top 50...you'd penalize Washington, Louisville, Western Michigan (double), Ok State, VT...

If you offer a penalty to those who's SOS is not in the top 25....add Michigan, Clemson, Penn State to the contenders taking a penalty
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Re: Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby collegefbfan-8898 » Tue Nov 29, 2016 4:10 pm

I know where you coming from about the penalty. It is just for fun though. I average each team's opponents' win percentage and opponents' opponents' win percentage from various sources. I take the average just for that reason. From various sources. I just did it to see how close it would come to other opinion polls.

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Re: Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby billybud » Tue Nov 29, 2016 4:37 pm

.....
Last edited by billybud on Tue Nov 29, 2016 4:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby billybud » Tue Nov 29, 2016 4:38 pm

So...Western Michigan as an opponent's opponent (this helps the Big Ten who play MAC) counts a more as an opponent's opponent than an LSU, Auburn, Washington, etc....

OK....kind of meaningless. Like Pitt being better than Ohio State because they beat the team that beat Ohio State.
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Re: Computer Poll For 11/28

Postby collegefbfan-8898 » Tue Nov 29, 2016 8:19 pm

Just figured it all would come out in the wash near or at the end anyway. Just figured the OW percentage and OOW percentage is better than what I could come up with. Not meaning to offend.


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